Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.176593 0.205105 0.236797 0.274646 0.318640 0.368189 0.428272
2025-03-30 0.127774 0.164503 0.209725 0.269558 0.346755 0.443164 0.572990
2025-04-06 0.102464 0.141654 0.193446 0.267021 0.369098 0.506094 0.704606
2025-04-13 0.086476 0.126670 0.182938 0.267638 0.392320 0.569797 0.842882
2025-04-20 0.077810 0.119839 0.181687 0.279596 0.431349 0.658721 1.027416
2025-04-27 0.070420 0.113421 0.179582 0.289142 0.466974 0.745944 1.220112
2025-05-04 0.064071 0.107487 0.177052 0.297084 0.500301 0.832765 1.422752
2025-05-11 0.057690 0.100484 0.171666 0.299231 0.523779 0.905678 1.610993
2025-05-18 0.051505 0.092897 0.164186 0.296539 0.538126 0.964166 1.780913
2025-05-25 0.045297 0.084413 0.154010 0.287571 0.539807 1.000007 1.913718
2025-06-01 0.042313 0.081364 0.153053 0.295082 0.572245 1.094760 2.167877
2025-06-08 0.038848 0.076951 0.149001 0.296116 0.592261 1.168181 2.389586
2025-06-15 0.036196 0.073864 0.147241 0.301673 0.622415 1.265973 2.675707
2025-06-22 0.032600 0.068458 0.140331 0.296080 0.629435 1.318766 2.876665
2025-06-29 0.029729 0.064171 0.135132 0.293290 0.641772 1.383644 3.111644
2025-07-06 0.027505 0.060973 0.131785 0.293968 0.661506 1.466317 3.396612
2025-07-13 0.026561 0.060441 0.134022 0.307119 0.710393 1.618302 3.859621
2025-07-20 0.025461 0.059416 0.135045 0.317619 0.754494 1.764805 4.329564
2025-07-27 0.024307 0.058124 0.135306 0.326354 0.795506 1.909066 4.813631
2025-08-03 0.022809 0.055839 0.133015 0.328716 0.821447 2.020697 5.231749
2025-08-10 0.021112 0.052866 0.128763 0.325755 0.833846 2.100847 5.580317
2025-08-17 0.019170 0.049062 0.122078 0.315892 0.827536 2.133574 5.808934
2025-08-24 0.018412 0.048165 0.122454 0.324153 0.869225 2.293776 6.402699